Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +20 (100-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Drone | 35 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | -5.3 |
| DJ Hall | 33 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | -7.6 |
| Franck Emmou | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -13.9 |
| Jalen Bolden | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -9.4 |
| Kyndall Davis | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -16.1 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -7 | -7.9 |
| Robert Fields | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -9.1 |
| Makai Willis | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -10.1 |
| T. Sant | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jaelyn Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coo. Campbell | 36 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Thomas Dowd | 36 | 10-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 20 | +12.9 |
| Cobi Campbell | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Theo Seng | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +10.5 |
| Victor Valdes | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 17 | +7.7 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | +21.1 |
| Austin Cross | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +9.2 |
* = starter