Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +22 (68-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benthe Versteeg | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -1 | -5.3 |
| Jaety Mandaquit | 31 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5.2 |
| Natalie Picton | 30 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -14.1 |
| Rubi Gray | 30 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | -15.4 |
| Elizabeth Abiara | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10.4 |
| Pinja Paananen | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Fatoumata Jaiteh | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Keanna Salave'a | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | -3.4 |
| Ajong Lual | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Tali Fa'i | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Jamiah Fontenberry | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Brooklyn Taylor | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatum West | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +16.3 |
| Heather Baymon | 33 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 13 | +19.1 |
| Gabi Fields | 29 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7.7 |
| Neenah George | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +24.4 |
| Aniah Hall | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +19.0 |
| Erin Powell | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +6.4 |
| Ruthie Loomis-Goltl | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.4 |
| Claire Fraser | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
| Lilah Moore | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Julia Riley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.6 |
* = starter