Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +13 (95-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Williams | 40 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 6-11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | -12.2 |
| Prophet Johnson | 36 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | -12.5 |
| Arman Madi | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +8.2 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10.7 |
| Mark Lavrenov | 20 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -9.1 |
| Taj Glover | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +8.0 |
| Jayden Teat | 16 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Jahni Summers | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -14.9 |
| Brandon Gardner | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.2 |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viljami Vartiainen | 33 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | +11.6 |
| Jace Whiting | 32 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Edwin Suarez Jr. | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +5.9 |
| Tijan Saine Jr. | 27 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | -1.8 |
| Nigel Burris | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +9.8 |
| Malek Gomma | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -6.7 |
| Trevor Hennig | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +3.3 |
| ArDarius Grayson | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +9.6 |
| David Hansen | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Duce Paschal | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
* = starter