Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +27 (96-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson | 38 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -29.2 |
| Mikey Williams | 30 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 11-14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 13 | -26.0 |
| Mark Lavrenov | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -19.4 |
| Jayden Teat | 19 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Arman Madi | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -15.0 |
| Brandon Gardner | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -7.0 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10.4 |
| Taj Glover | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Jahni Summers | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Romari Robinson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.6 |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson | 40 | 10-19 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 11 | +24.5 |
| T. Minott | 36 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 36 | - |
| Terri Miller Jr. | 35 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 30 | +24.6 |
| K. Kensie Jr. | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +24.3 |
| Isaiah Williams | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +20.5 |
| Sebastian Tidor | 11 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -2.5 |
| B. Long | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +16.4 |
| Alex Dupre | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4.5 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Charles Chukwu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Brayden Barron | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Samuel Stewart Iv | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Colt Ness | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter