Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +16 (95-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Johnson | 38 | 7-20 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| J. Summers | 36 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Lavrenov | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Madi | 29 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| S. O'Neal | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Glover | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Robinson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Teat | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Denker | 37 | 9-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Z. Bloch | 36 | 6-16 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| B. Wisne | 34 | 12-16 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 27 | - |
| R. Nyeri | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| I. Yamazaki | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| V. Delano | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Shields | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Mawien | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter