Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +4 (93-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Denker | 43 | 11-18 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 25 | +4.2 |
| Zach Bloch | 33 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -4.8 |
| Ibu Yamazaki | 31 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -7.6 |
| Ring Nyeri | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -15.2 |
| Egan Shields | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | +0.3 |
| Vincent Delano | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | -17.0 |
| Brock Wisne | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Ariik Mawien | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.7 |
| Hunter Caldwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Lavrenov | 45 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | +4.8 |
| Prophet Johnson | 44 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 10-12 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 20 | +9.4 |
| Jahni Summers | 33 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +5.1 |
| Arman Madi | 31 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | +16.4 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +7.4 |
| Taj Glover | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5.2 |
| Jayden Teat | 14 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -11.9 |
| Romari Robinson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.4 |
* = starter