Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Abelman | 35 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Brennan Peterson | 32 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Chris Komin | 30 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -17.4 |
| Traivar Jackson | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Shaw | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Karl Poom | 24 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -12.8 |
| Arne Osojnik | 14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -6.9 |
| Kavon Bradford | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Erez Poran | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Oakland Fort | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Diego Campisano | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson | 38 | 11-19 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 25 | +12.2 |
| Jahni Summers | 32 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | +15.7 |
| Taj Glover | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +5.4 |
| Arman Madi | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +14.2 |
| Mark Lavrenov | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 21 | +16.2 |
| Jayden Teat | 18 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +7.3 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Romari Robinson | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Brandon Gardner | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.2 |
* = starter