Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson | 37 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Arman Madi | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Mark Lavrenov | 24 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jahni Summers | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Taj Glover | 20 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jayden Teat | 19 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Romari Robinson | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Thompson | 36 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 31 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 31 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Money Williams | 29 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Isaak | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Kenyon Aguino | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Grant Kepley | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Connor Dick | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Trae Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter