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Sacramento State Hornets 73
@
Montana Grizzlies 81
2026-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% - ✓
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 ✓ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% - ✓

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Johnson 37 6-17 2-7 0-1 7 6 0 0 3 14 7 -
A. Madi 33 5-9 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 11 7 -
S. O'Neal 25 2-5 1-2 6-7 2 1 1 0 0 11 10 -
M. Lavrenov 24 4-11 0-2 0-0 12 0 1 0 1 8 9 -
J. Summers 24 3-8 0-2 3-3 2 0 1 0 2 9 2 -
T. Glover 20 4-7 0-2 4-5 0 1 2 0 0 12 8 -
J. Teat 19 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
R. Robinson 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 3 0 0 5 8 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Thompson 36 3-10 3-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 9 -2 -
T. Sawyer 31 5-7 1-2 0-0 12 4 2 0 2 11 20 -
B. Hicks 31 6-14 2-8 2-4 5 1 2 2 1 16 11 -
M. Williams 29 4-8 3-5 9-10 3 3 1 0 4 20 15 -
T. Isaak 24 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 4 0 1 1 9 9 -
K. Aguino 22 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
G. Kepley 20 3-5 0-1 3-4 5 5 0 0 1 9 13 -
C. Dick 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
T. Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter