Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money Williams | 37 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 17 | -1.7 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 34 | 13-16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20 | +4.5 |
| Tyler Thompson | 33 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Kenyon Aguino | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Grant Kepley | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2 | +7.0 |
| Tyler Isaak | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.2 |
| Connor Dick | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +8.1 |
| Amari Jedkins | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.6 |
| Trae Taylor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson | 39 | 10-18 | 4-5 | 2-7 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 22 | -0.3 |
| Mikey Williams | 37 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Arman Madi | 30 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | +3.7 |
| Jahni Summers | 29 | 7-14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Mark Lavrenov | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -10.7 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -10.1 |
| Taj Glover | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +8.7 |
| Romari Robinson | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.4 |
| Jayden Teat | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
* = starter