Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.9% | 26.1% | -5.7 | ✓ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -26 (72-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money Williams | 33 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | +19.8 |
| Tyler Thompson | 29 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +22.0 |
| Grant Kepley | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +23.7 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 26 | 11-13 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | +5.6 |
| Kenyon Aguino | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +30.2 |
| Tyler Isaak | 20 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +4.9 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +8.9 |
| Kadyn Betts | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Trae Taylor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Connor Dick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.9 |
| Chase Henderson | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Amari Jedkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Komin | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -23.8 |
| Brennan Peterson | 26 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -12.4 |
| Karl Poom | 25 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | -23.1 |
| Traivar Jackson | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Shaw | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -11.8 |
| Diego Campisano | 20 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -8.8 |
| Arne Osojnik | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -17.0 |
| Oakland Fort | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Kavon Bradford | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Erez Poran | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.9 |
* = starter