Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +18 (83-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 26 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Louis Bond | 24 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jamison Guerra | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Blake Daberkow | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Martin Kheil | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Gus Etchison | 16 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Caleb Van De Griend | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Cheikh Sow | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quin Patterson | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Evan Otten | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Landen Birley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kasen Carpenter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson | 40 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Arman Madi | 38 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Mark Lavrenov | 33 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jahni Summers | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Romari Robinson | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Jayden Teat | 12 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Taj Glover | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter