Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Kepley | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| M. Williams | 36 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| T. Thompson | 35 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| K. Aguino | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Sawyer | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Hicks | 17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Jedkins | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Isaak | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Taylor | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Dick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brewer | 30 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| G. Etchison | 27 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 18 | - |
| L. Bond | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Kheil | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Daberkow | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Hollenbeck | 21 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| C. Sow | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Guerra | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Otten | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Van De Griend | 6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter