🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Colorado Bears 69
@
Idaho State Bengals 61
2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 68.5% 31.5% - ✓
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.4 ✓ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% - ✓
Efficiency 93.5% 6.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 72.3% 27.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 55.9% 44.1% - ✓

Actual: Idaho State Bengals -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Denker 34 6-16 1-5 1-2 5 4 0 0 1 14 6 -
R. Nyeri 34 5-8 2-2 4-4 5 0 0 1 1 16 13 -
B. Wisne 33 8-11 1-1 0-0 8 1 1 2 3 17 15 -
Z. Bloch 32 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 3 6 -
I. Yamazaki 29 4-11 1-6 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 9 3 -
V. Delano 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 4 5 -
E. Shields 15 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 1 6 8 -
A. Mawien 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Brewer 35 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 0 -
C. Hollenbeck 34 3-10 0-3 3-3 4 0 4 1 0 9 8 -
M. Kheil 31 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
J. Guerra 24 2-5 2-4 2-2 3 4 0 0 1 8 9 -
E. Otten 21 5-8 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 2 11 6 -
C. Van De Griend 19 5-13 0-1 3-5 12 0 0 1 0 13 13 -
G. Etchison 16 2-7 1-4 1-1 1 3 0 0 1 6 2 -
L. Bond 14 1-5 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
Q. Patterson 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter