Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brewer | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -11.2 |
| M. Kheil | 32 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -5.9 |
| J. Guerra | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -9.5 |
| C. Hollenbeck | 25 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | -12.5 |
| B. Daberkow | 21 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +5.5 |
| L. Bond | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +2.3 |
| G. Etchison | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1.6 |
| E. Otten | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -10.9 |
| C. Van De Griend | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2.7 |
| C. Sow | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.3 |
| Q. Patterson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Kepley | 37 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +8.7 |
| K. Aguino | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +13.1 |
| M. Williams | 33 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 12 | +4.0 |
| T. Sawyer | 25 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +8.5 |
| T. Thompson | 23 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +1.5 |
| T. Isaak | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +3.5 |
| T. Taylor | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.5 |
| B. Hicks | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +1.5 |
* = starter