Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Kheil | 32 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -11.6 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 31 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -12.0 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 28 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Cheikh Sow | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Gus Etchison | 21 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 11 | -4.7 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | 20 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -7.5 |
| Jamison Guerra | 19 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Evan Otten | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Quin Patterson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Blake Daberkow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller | 37 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | +11.6 |
| Patrick McMahon | 30 | 9-17 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +12.4 |
| Davian Brown | 27 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +9.5 |
| Seth Amunrud | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +8.4 |
| Chris Hodges | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +11.8 |
| Christian King | 19 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Jaden Steppe | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Howie Keene | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +9.4 |
| Jeremiah Davis | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.9 |
* = starter