Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -2 (79-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hollenbeck | 35 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | -0.1 |
| Martin Kheil | 35 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | +8.2 |
| Jamison Guerra | 34 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 29 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +6.9 |
| Cheikh Sow | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -10.4 |
| Evan Otten | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Gus Etchison | 6 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Blake Daberkow | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Louis Bond | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -8.2 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Peterson | 34 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +12.1 |
| Chris Komin | 34 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | +5.4 |
| Ryan Abelman | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Karl Poom | 29 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Arne Osojnik | 23 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | -2.8 |
| Traivar Jackson | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kavon Bradford | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Erez Poran | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.0 |
* = starter