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2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% -
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% -
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 21.7% 78.3% -
Points Off/Def 31.4% 68.6% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +13 (85-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hollenbeck 27 0-4 0-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 2 3 -7.1
J. Guerra 27 9-13 2-3 6-8 2 1 1 0 1 26 16 -8.0
C. Sow 27 4-7 0-2 2-3 12 1 1 1 0 10 18 +8.8
L. Brewer 26 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 1 -19.7
L. Bond 19 3-3 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 7 +2.8
M. Kheil 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -11.9
E. Otten 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 6 0 -10.1
G. Etchison 13 4-9 0-2 2-4 3 0 1 0 0 10 5 -2.1
C. Van De Griend 11 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 -2 -4.0
B. Daberkow 11 1-4 0-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 +4.8
Q. Patterson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Denker 36 3-8 1-4 3-5 3 11 1 1 1 10 17 +8.2
Z. Bloch 35 9-12 6-9 2-2 4 2 3 0 1 26 22 +17.2
I. Yamazaki 33 5-15 4-13 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 16 5 -5.4
B. Wisne 29 6-8 3-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 17 10 +20.9
V. Delano 27 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 5 5 +9.9
E. Shields 27 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 1 5 8 -5.0
R. Nyeri 11 2-5 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 +3.9
T. Braketa 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.0
A. Mawien 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter