Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +13 (85-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hollenbeck | 27 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7.1 |
| J. Guerra | 27 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | -8.0 |
| C. Sow | 27 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | +8.8 |
| L. Brewer | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -19.7 |
| L. Bond | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +2.8 |
| M. Kheil | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.9 |
| E. Otten | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -10.1 |
| G. Etchison | 13 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -2.1 |
| C. Van De Griend | 11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -4.0 |
| B. Daberkow | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +4.8 |
| Q. Patterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Denker | 36 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +8.2 |
| Z. Bloch | 35 | 9-12 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 22 | +17.2 |
| I. Yamazaki | 33 | 5-15 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | -5.4 |
| B. Wisne | 29 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | +20.9 |
| V. Delano | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +9.9 |
| E. Shields | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -5.0 |
| R. Nyeri | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +3.9 |
| T. Braketa | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| A. Mawien | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter