Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +13 (97-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Williams | 35 | 13-23 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 12 | -7.3 |
| Prophet Johnson | 34 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -8.6 |
| Arman Madi | 30 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | -0.6 |
| Jahni Summers | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
| Mark Lavrenov | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -8.2 |
| Jayden Teat | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -5.7 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Brandon Gardner | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Taj Glover | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.6 |
| Isaiah Bronson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.0 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamison Guerra | 33 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 8-10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 23 | +5.1 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 32 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 20 | +9.7 |
| Martin Kheil | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +9.5 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 27 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +7.6 |
| Cheikh Sow | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | +4.0 |
| Evan Otten | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Louis Bond | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -0.5 |
| Gus Etchison | 6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Blake Daberkow | 6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Quin Patterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Kasen Carpenter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Landen Birley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter