Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +12 (96-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Pettiford | 35 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| E. Freeman | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Overton | 33 | 9-15 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| K. Hall | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| K. Murphy | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Williams-Adams | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| F. Jović | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Muschalek | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Philon | 29 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| A. Holloway | 28 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| L. Wrightsell Jr. | 26 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Allen | 24 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| A. Sherrell | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| H. Mallette | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| T.B. Bowen | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| L. Jemison | 13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| N. Williamson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Bethea | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Murphy Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Martin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter