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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 73.1% 26.9% -
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% -
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% -
Log Adjusted 81.0% 19.0% -
Points Off/Def 62.6% 37.4% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers -4 (84-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thomas 45 9-22 5-6 5-6 7 2 1 1 1 28 16 -
D.J. Wagner 45 4-10 0-4 2-4 4 5 1 0 3 10 7 -
T. Brazile 44 8-14 2-4 1-3 9 1 3 1 0 19 19 -
B. Richmond III 39 4-7 0-1 2-2 6 4 2 1 2 10 14 -
M. Ewin 31 6-12 1-1 4-7 9 0 1 2 3 17 14 -
N. Pringle 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
I. Sealy 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mitchell 43 11-20 1-3 9-11 4 4 1 0 2 32 19 -
T. Pierce 39 5-11 3-7 0-1 6 0 1 0 1 13 8 -
S. Phillips 36 5-8 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 4 4 13 15 -
A. Robinson II 33 1-4 0-2 3-4 3 5 1 0 0 5 10 -
J. Stone 30 4-7 2-5 1-2 6 0 2 0 3 11 9 -
T.O. Barrett 29 4-12 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 10 0 -
J. Crews 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Burns 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter