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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 68.2% 31.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% - βœ“
Margin 75.5% 24.5% -6.2 βœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 79.9% 20.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% - βœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -7 (77-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Haugh 37 7-14 3-6 3-4 9 3 3 0 0 20 21 -2.2
Boogie Fland 33 4-8 2-3 6-8 2 6 1 0 3 16 14 +4.4
Xaivian Lee 31 4-11 1-3 2-4 7 5 0 0 1 11 11 +4.9
Alex Condon 28 6-8 0-0 2-4 5 4 2 2 4 14 15 +1.0
Rueben Chinyelu 26 4-8 0-0 5-9 8 0 0 1 1 13 13 -6.2
Isaiah Brown 16 2-6 1-4 2-3 2 2 1 1 0 7 7 -0.7
Urban Klavzar 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -6.4
Micah Handlogten 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 0 4 +6.1

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Otega Oweh 38 8-21 4-8 8-8 5 2 1 0 1 28 14 +10.3
Denzel Aberdeen 35 4-13 1-6 6-7 5 4 1 0 1 15 11 +8.0
Collin Chandler 35 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 1 +1.7
Malachi Moreno 27 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 2 4 6 10 -2.3
A. Jelavić 21 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 7 8 -3.0
Mouhamed Dioubate 18 3-7 1-1 3-6 6 1 1 1 1 10 11 +6.3
Brandon Garrison 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 6 6 +8.0
Jasper Johnson 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -0.9
Trent Noah 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.5

* = starter