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2026-03-03

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Reece 38 3-8 2-3 4-5 2 6 1 0 5 12 8 -
P. Tamba 33 6-9 0-2 0-2 9 4 4 0 1 12 19 -
M. Sutton 29 4-6 1-1 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 10 9 -
M. Nwoko 29 4-6 0-0 11-13 5 1 0 1 3 19 17 -
M. Mackinnon 23 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 -2 -
PJ Carter 23 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
R. King 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
R. Miller III 10 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
M. Mosley 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Overton 38 6-10 4-6 5-5 2 1 2 1 1 21 16 -
K. Hall 36 6-12 0-3 5-6 6 3 1 1 1 17 15 -
T. Pettiford 31 10-16 4-7 3-4 2 6 4 0 1 27 22 -
E. Freeman 29 4-6 2-3 0-1 6 1 1 1 0 10 13 -
K. Murphy 25 3-7 0-3 3-4 4 4 1 0 2 9 9 -
S. Williams-Adams 19 0-2 0-1 0-2 5 0 2 1 0 0 6 -
F. Jović 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 4 1 -
B. Muschalek 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
CJ Williams 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Trapp 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter