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2026-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% -
Bradley-Terry 10.4% 89.6% -
Margin 1.8% 98.2% +22.1 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.1% 74.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 10.7% 89.3% -

Actual: Florida Gators +34 (108-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard 36 6-15 2-7 7-12 2 5 0 0 4 21 9 -
J. McGhee 28 5-10 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 12 3 -
J. Epps 28 5-11 3-7 1-1 0 4 0 0 2 14 5 -
J. Davis-Fleming 23 2-3 0-0 1-4 5 2 0 0 0 5 9 -
K. Grace 23 2-4 2-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
S. Macura 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Q. Ballard 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 4 3 -
A. Achor 19 3-7 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
D. Warren 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Chinyelu 31 5-9 0-0 1-2 16 2 1 3 2 11 22 -
B. Fland 29 4-6 1-3 1-2 3 3 1 0 0 10 11 -
A. Condon 26 12-19 0-1 2-5 7 3 0 0 0 26 17 -
X. Lee 25 7-12 2-5 3-3 5 6 4 0 1 19 21 -
I. Brown 22 4-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
M. Handlogten 21 5-9 0-0 0-2 9 3 0 1 1 10 13 -
U. Klavzar 21 3-8 1-4 3-3 1 2 1 0 0 10 6 -
CJ Ingram 13 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 8 8 -
V. Mikic 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Lloyd 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Kovatchev 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Josefsberg 1 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
O. Rioux 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter