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2026-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 โœ“ (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +20 (105-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dailyn Swain 34 5-10 1-1 5-7 9 6 1 1 3 16 20 -11.0
Simeon Wilcher 28 1-6 1-3 0-2 0 2 3 0 2 3 0 -1.5
Tramon Mark 28 6-12 1-2 5-7 2 3 1 0 0 18 12 -17.7
Camden Heide 27 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 3 -18.5
Chendall Weaver 27 5-10 0-0 0-3 4 0 1 0 0 10 5 -1.0
Nic Codie 26 5-8 0-1 1-2 7 2 0 0 2 11 10 -5.5
Matas Vokietaitis 24 9-15 0-0 3-6 7 2 0 1 1 21 15 -8.5
Jordan Pope 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.7
Declan Duru Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.7

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Billy Richmond III 37 3-9 0-1 2-2 9 3 3 3 1 8 16 +12.4
Trevon Brazile 36 9-11 3-5 7-8 7 1 2 3 1 28 29 +29.9
Darius Acuff Jr. 36 8-15 4-6 8-10 3 13 0 0 3 28 26 +10.0
D.J. Wagner 30 6-9 3-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 15 12 +5.9
Meleek Thomas 28 4-9 1-3 4-4 2 1 1 1 0 13 9 +25.7
Malique Ewin 15 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 5 4 -8.6
Nick Pringle 14 3-3 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 8 7 +12.4
Isaiah Sealy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +7.4
Jaden Karuletwa 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter