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Oklahoma Sooners 83
@
LSU Tigers 67
2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma Sooners LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 73.2% 26.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 65.1% 34.9% - ✓
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 ✓ (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - ✓
Efficiency 86.6% 13.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.2% 38.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% - ✗

Actual: LSU Tigers -16 (67-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Davis 33 2-7 0-1 3-4 6 1 0 0 1 7 6 +0.4
X. Brown 32 6-10 2-3 6-6 2 0 2 0 1 20 13 -
N. Pack 31 8-14 5-11 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 21 12 -1.3
D. Reid 25 1-5 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 3 5 -1.8
M. Wague 24 5-8 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 3 1 10 14 -1.6
J. Jones 23 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 3 1 1 5 8 +0.5
D. Forsythe 17 3-7 1-3 6-6 0 1 0 0 0 13 7 -1.6
K. Elatontsev 14 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
K. Rogers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mackinnon 37 6-20 1-7 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 17 -1 +2.2
J. Reece 34 1-10 0-4 0-0 1 8 1 0 3 2 -1 +1.8
P. Tamba 32 3-7 0-2 4-5 10 1 2 0 0 10 16 +2.3
M. Sutton 26 2-6 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 7 6 +2.3
R. Miller III 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 4 0 6 15 +2.1
M. Nwoko 20 3-4 0-0 5-6 3 1 0 0 3 11 8 -0.0
R. King 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -0.0
PJ Carter 13 4-7 4-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 12 7 +0.1

* = starter