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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 57.3% 42.7% - βœ—
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 βœ— (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - βœ—
Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% - βœ—

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +14 (91-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Tanner 38 9-12 0-3 1-2 3 6 2 0 3 19 15 -12.8
Tyler Nickel 31 5-15 3-12 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 13 0 -8.5
AK Okereke 28 4-6 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 12 7 -23.3
Duke Miles 28 3-9 2-5 3-3 2 7 0 0 2 11 9 -10.4
Jalen Washington 27 7-8 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 1 1 16 15 -9.2
Chandler Bing 25 2-5 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -0.1
Devin McGlockton 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 1 -3.2
Jayden Leverett 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.2
Tyler Harris 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.7

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denzel Aberdeen 37 5-10 3-7 2-2 4 4 0 0 0 15 13 +17.8
Otega Oweh 34 9-16 0-3 5-6 2 4 2 0 3 23 12 +13.4
Collin Chandler 31 7-10 6-8 3-4 0 2 1 0 1 23 15 +7.4
Malachi Moreno 27 4-5 0-0 3-4 6 5 0 0 2 11 15 +19.8
Mouhamed Dioubate 24 1-3 0-0 6-8 4 0 3 0 2 8 10 +10.4
A. Jelavić 16 2-3 1-2 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 6 6 +4.6
Brandon Garrison 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -1.4
Jasper Johnson 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 +10.0
Trent Noah 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 +7.2

* = starter