Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +25 (100-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 32 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. Davis-Fleming | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - |
| J. Epps | 28 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Achor | 24 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 22 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Macura | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Grace | 14 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. McGhee | 11 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Warren | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Q. Ballard | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Ali | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Holloway | 29 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| L. Wrightsell Jr. | 29 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A. Allen | 26 | 8-10 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| A. Sherrell | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| L. Jemison | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| H. Mallette | 21 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Bethea | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T.B. Bowen | 19 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| N. Williamson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter