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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 53.2% 46.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% -
Points Off/Def 41.8% 58.2% -

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks +8 (97-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard 37 4-20 2-12 3-5 2 4 0 0 2 13 -3 -
S. Jones Jr. 29 2-4 2-4 0-0 5 1 3 0 0 6 11 -
J. McGhee 28 4-8 1-3 3-5 2 7 2 0 1 12 14 -
Q. Ballard 24 6-8 0-0 3-6 10 1 0 0 0 15 18 -
A. Achor 20 4-10 1-5 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
S. Macura 18 3-5 1-2 3-6 5 0 0 0 1 10 9 -
J. Davis-Fleming 17 1-1 0-0 3-6 1 2 0 0 1 5 6 -
K. Grace 14 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Epps 13 5-10 3-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 13 2 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sharavjamts 33 6-8 1-3 8-10 4 5 0 0 0 21 22 -
M. Johnson 28 5-11 2-5 9-10 5 9 0 0 2 21 22 -
K. Knox 27 6-8 2-2 3-3 2 0 0 1 1 17 11 -
E. Ellis 23 5-8 2-3 1-1 3 3 1 0 1 13 11 -
E. Strong 21 6-11 3-4 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 16 7 -
N. Kapic 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Stute 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 4 -
EJ Walker 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
J. Butler 10 2-3 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
G. Polk 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Essandoko 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter