Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +8 (94-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mitchell | 39 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 9-12 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 26 | -9.5 |
| J. Stone | 37 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -9.8 |
| T. Pierce | 32 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | -0.6 |
| S. Phillips | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -10.4 |
| A. Robinson II | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7.0 |
| T.O. Barrett | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -4.7 |
| T. Burns | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +0.3 |
| J. Crews | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -6.6 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 37 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | +14.6 |
| D. Acuff Jr. | 35 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | -0.3 |
| B. Richmond III | 35 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | +9.8 |
| T. Brazile | 32 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +12.6 |
| M. Ewin | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +16.8 |
| D.J. Wagner | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +11.0 |
| N. Pringle | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -8.3 |
* = starter