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2026-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 72.2% 27.8% -8.9 โœ— (9.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 63.9% 36.1% - โœ—
Margin 79.3% 20.7% -7.4 โœ— (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 78.1% 21.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 83.4% 16.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 64.0% 36.0% - โœ—

Actual: Missouri Tigers +1 (81-80). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Tanner * 38 9-19 2-6 7-7 2 5 3 0 2 27 16 +6.4
Tyler Nickel * 35 4-11 3-9 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 11 7 +6.1
AK Okereke * 26 4-7 1-1 0-1 3 0 1 2 2 9 6 +8.9
Devin McGlockton * 26 5-8 2-3 1-2 7 0 1 1 2 13 12 -7.4
Jalen Washington * 21 2-7 0-1 2-2 4 2 2 1 1 6 7 -10.2
Chandler Bing 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 1 -9.9
Jayden Leverett 12 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 0 2 0 0 5 10 +14.0
Tyler Harris 11 1-6 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 3 2 +4.8
Mike James 11 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -11.4

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trent Pierce * 37 6-9 2-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 16 9 +5.7
Jayden Stone * 37 6-13 4-6 3-3 7 1 1 0 0 19 15 +5.4
Mark Mitchell Jr. * 36 2-9 1-1 5-8 3 9 1 0 2 10 12 +3.3
T.O. Barrett * 32 3-10 2-5 8-9 2 5 2 0 2 16 13 -4.3
Shawn Phillips Jr. * 16 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 1 1 1 3 4 5 -6.5
Trent Burns 18 1-3 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 1 1 3 7 +17.5
Anthony Robinson II 16 3-4 1-2 6-7 3 0 1 0 3 13 10 -4.0
Jacob Crews 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +10.7
Nicholas Randall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.0

* = starter