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2026-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.0% 56.0% - βœ“
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 βœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% - βœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +2 (117-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Acuff Jr. 50 16-27 6-10 11-12 5 5 1 1 1 49 33 -0.6
Trevon Brazile 47 5-13 0-4 1-2 8 1 2 3 2 11 10 +8.9
Meleek Thomas 37 8-13 6-8 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 24 19 +19.4
D.J. Wagner 35 3-8 1-4 1-2 1 5 2 0 1 8 7 +3.5
Billy Richmond III 34 10-19 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 20 9 -5.8
Nick Pringle 23 1-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 -9.9
Malique Ewin 20 0-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 0 3 +9.4
Jaden Karuletwa 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.6
E. Džafić 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amari Allen 45 6-14 2-8 5-6 11 2 1 1 2 19 18 +5.1
Labaron Philon 41 11-21 3-8 10-13 2 7 0 0 2 35 21 +8.5
Latrell Wrightsell Jr. 40 2-7 1-5 2-4 2 3 3 0 1 7 7 +5.9
Aiden Sherrell 39 10-13 0-0 6-7 13 1 0 0 1 26 26 +21.8
Houston Mallette 29 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 8 -3.7
Aden Holloway 25 5-5 1-1 4-4 3 3 0 0 1 15 15 +5.9
London Jemison 16 4-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 9 5 -6.4
T.B. Bowen 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -10.1
Noah Williamson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.2
Jalil Bethea 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.2

* = starter