Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +3 (88-85). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Reece * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +3.9 |
| Marquel Sutton * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | -4.5 |
| Pablo Tamba * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +16.4 |
| Michael Nwoko * | 20 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Rashad King * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Max Mackinnon | 33 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Robert Miller III | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Mazi Mosley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -7.6 |
| PJ Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camden Heide * | 37 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Tramon Mark * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Matas Vokietaitis * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +3.6 |
| Jordan Pope * | 27 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | +0.1 |
| Dailyn Swain * | 21 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | -7.1 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Chendall Weaver | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Nic Codie | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
* = starter