Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +6 (91-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hall | 40 | 8-17 | 4-7 | 9-11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 24 | - |
| T. Pettiford | 36 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| S. Williams-Adams | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Murphy | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| K. Overton | 28 | 4-12 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| E. Freeman | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| F. Jović | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Muschalek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 39 | 15-27 | 10-16 | 6-9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 33 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 35 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| J. Epps | 33 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| A. Achor | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Q. Ballard | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Davis-Fleming | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. McGhee | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Macura | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Grace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter