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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 61.0% 39.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% - โœ—
Margin 58.5% 41.5% -1.9 โœ“ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 67.9% 32.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“

Actual: Missouri Tigers -17 (68-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dailyn Swain 37 9-16 3-6 4-4 6 2 2 0 1 25 18 +17.3
Camden Heide 36 0-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +18.7
Tramon Mark 30 3-9 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 2 +1.1
Jordan Pope 25 5-13 2-5 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 15 5 +15.9
Matas Vokietaitis 25 6-10 0-0 7-8 10 0 0 2 1 19 20 +9.2
Simeon Wilcher 21 2-2 1-1 4-4 1 4 1 0 3 9 10 +18.1
Nic Codie 15 4-5 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 1 0 9 11 +10.6
Chendall Weaver 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +3.3

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Mitchell 39 5-9 0-0 6-10 4 1 0 0 1 16 11 -13.9
Jayden Stone 34 4-9 2-4 6-7 5 0 1 0 4 16 9 -18.8
Trent Pierce 32 1-4 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 1 0 4 7 -5.3
T.O. Barrett 31 2-9 0-0 1-2 0 2 3 1 1 5 1 -11.4
Anthony Robinson II 21 3-6 2-3 3-6 1 2 0 0 0 11 8 -9.8
Shawn Phillips Jr. 18 1-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 1 1 5 6 +4.6
Jacob Crews 14 0-2 0-2 4-5 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -2.7
Nicholas Randall 9 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -15.5
Trent Burns 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -0.7

* = starter