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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Ole Miss Rebels Spread Result
Elo 35.2% 64.8% -
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% -
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: Ole Miss Rebels -12 (78-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard 36 12-16 4-6 4-7 2 6 0 0 5 32 19 -
J. Epps 33 3-13 1-7 5-5 7 3 0 0 1 12 8 -
J. McGhee 28 3-7 1-3 0-1 3 2 1 0 1 7 5 -
J. Davis-Fleming 25 3-3 0-0 0-3 5 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
A. Achor 22 6-8 3-4 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 18 16 -
S. Jones Jr. 22 1-2 1-1 1-2 8 3 0 0 0 4 13 -
Q. Ballard 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 6 9 -
S. Macura 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 5 8 -
K. Grace 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Storr 32 8-16 3-7 2-2 6 5 2 0 0 21 18 -
E. Klafke 31 2-7 1-3 1-2 5 4 3 0 0 6 11 -
I. Kamardine 30 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 5 1 0 1 5 10 -
M. Dia 30 11-20 1-4 9-12 7 1 0 0 1 32 19 -
T. Perry 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 3 5 -
P. Pinkins 21 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
J. Scott 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Z. Day 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
A. Cassia 5 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
C. Chest 5 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
K. Johnson 3 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
M. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
N. Bundalo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter