Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Overton | 39 | 1-13 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| T. Pettiford | 38 | 11-18 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 18 | - |
| E. Freeman | 36 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Williams-Adams | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Murphy | 34 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - |
| F. Jović | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Muschalek | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Richmond III | 38 | 12-15 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| D. Acuff Jr. | 38 | 10-15 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 24 | - |
| M. Thomas | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| T. Brazile | 36 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| N. Pringle | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Ewin | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Wagner | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Knox | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter