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2026-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 77.3% 22.7% -
Bradley-Terry 78.9% 21.1% -
Margin 90.5% 9.5% -12.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 66.6% 33.4% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% -
Log Adjusted 91.7% 8.3% -
Points Off/Def 74.3% 25.7% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gillespie 37 7-19 2-8 2-3 4 5 1 0 1 18 8 -
N. Ament 32 5-12 0-2 6-6 3 5 0 1 3 16 10 -
B. Boswell 30 2-8 0-1 0-0 7 8 1 0 1 4 11 -
F. Okpara 26 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 3 6 7 -
J.P. Estrella 26 3-5 0-0 6-7 7 0 0 3 0 12 17 -
D. Brown II 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 3 4 7 -
J. Carey 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
A. Evans 12 1-3 1-1 1-2 2 0 2 1 0 4 6 -
T. Henderson 9 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 2 -
E. Burg 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard 33 13-24 4-9 1-2 3 2 1 0 3 31 10 -
J. Epps 26 3-9 1-3 2-2 2 5 0 0 2 9 5 -
J. Davis-Fleming 24 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 2 1 4 7 -
Q. Ballard 24 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
J. McGhee 22 2-5 1-3 1-4 0 1 2 0 3 6 1 -
S. Macura 20 0-3 0-1 1-2 8 2 0 0 0 1 8 -
S. Jones Jr. 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
A. Achor 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 3 6 -
K. Grace 15 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 2 1 -
D. Warren 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter