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2026-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% -5.1 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Margin 66.3% 33.7% -3.7 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers -8 (76-84). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Tanner * 39 6-16 1-4 12-13 4 6 2 0 1 25 20 +11.2
Tyler Nickel * 33 3-12 2-8 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 10 0 +8.4
Jalen Washington * 28 7-8 2-2 6-6 5 0 0 1 3 22 17 +16.3
AK Okereke * 25 2-5 1-3 2-4 3 3 0 1 1 7 8 +4.1
Devin McGlockton * 23 4-4 2-2 2-2 7 3 0 3 0 12 21 +17.7
Chandler Bing 32 3-6 0-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 8 2 -0.4
Mike James 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 +0.5
Tyler Harris 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 +2.3
Jayden Leverett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.9

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sebastian Williams-Adams * 37 4-9 1-2 2-4 6 1 0 1 0 11 10 -10.6
Tahaad Pettiford * 36 7-18 1-6 6-7 2 4 0 0 1 21 8 -6.0
Kevin Overton * 30 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 10 4 -7.9
Keyshawn Hall * 26 3-13 3-5 4-5 3 1 0 0 2 13 2 -8.2
KeShawn Murphy * 24 3-5 0-0 6-6 6 1 1 2 2 12 15 -4.9
Elyjah Freeman 28 1-5 0-0 3-4 8 1 1 0 0 5 10 +10.2
F. Joviฤ‡ 16 2-4 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 0 4 5 -4.0
Simon Walker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.9

* = starter