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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 88.1% 11.9% -
Bradley-Terry 77.2% 22.8% -
Margin 89.0% 11.0% -11.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 65.7% 34.3% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% -
Log Adjusted 90.1% 9.9% -
Points Off/Def 73.6% 26.4% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -20 (68-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brazile 40 7-12 2-6 3-5 8 4 1 4 0 19 24 -
M. Thomas 40 7-17 3-8 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 17 8 -
D. Acuff Jr. 38 9-19 3-5 3-3 5 8 0 0 1 24 17 -
N. Pringle 28 2-2 0-0 2-4 11 1 0 0 3 6 13 -
B. Richmond III 25 7-11 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 14 10 -
I. Sealy 15 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 3 1 6 5 -
M. Ewin 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 1 2 5 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard 33 7-15 0-4 2-3 0 5 0 1 3 16 4 -
A. Achor 27 7-13 1-3 0-0 8 1 2 0 1 15 12 -
S. Jones Jr. 25 1-4 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Davis-Fleming 24 5-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 2 1 12 13 -
J. Epps 23 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 3 1 -
K. Grace 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 0 -
J. McGhee 18 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
Q. Ballard 15 3-5 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 2 0 8 8 -
S. Macura 7 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Warren 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Walker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter