Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 32 | 7-20 | 4-12 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | -6.3 |
| J. Epps | 29 | 9-20 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 6 | +4.5 |
| J. Davis-Fleming | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | +2.9 |
| J. McGhee | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -2.3 |
| S. Macura | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +6.9 |
| K. Grace | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +8.5 |
| Q. Ballard | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -17.5 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -7.0 |
| A. Achor | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -5.7 |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mitchell | 36 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 8-12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +3.9 |
| J. Stone | 33 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +13.8 |
| T.O. Barrett | 30 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | +12.7 |
| T. Pierce | 30 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +6.4 |
| A. Robinson II | 23 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -16.3 |
| J. Crews | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -10.1 |
| S. Phillips | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +14.7 |
| N. Randall | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.1 |
| T. Burns | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| A. Boateng | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 |
* = starter