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2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - ✗
Margin 28.7% 71.3% +5.0 ✗ (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.2% 53.8% - ✗

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denzel Aberdeen 38 4-9 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 1 0 10 6 +6.4
Otega Oweh 38 9-12 0-1 6-11 8 3 1 0 1 24 23 +6.6
Malachi Moreno 27 4-7 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 2 1 11 13 +5.7
Mouhamed Dioubate 26 1-5 0-1 3-6 5 0 0 3 0 5 8 -2.0
Collin Chandler 23 5-9 2-4 1-1 1 1 1 0 0 13 7 -7.0
Trent Noah 19 1-3 1-1 6-8 7 0 0 0 0 9 13 +3.2
A. Jelavić 13 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
Brandon Garrison 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 4 3 -3.1
Jasper Johnson 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -4.0

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Acuff Jr. 39 8-20 1-4 5-8 2 3 0 0 2 22 5 -3.5
Trevon Brazile 38 5-10 2-6 4-6 8 2 0 3 0 16 19 -5.2
Billy Richmond III 28 6-8 0-1 2-3 5 1 1 0 0 14 13 +9.3
Meleek Thomas 26 4-8 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 10 3 +4.8
Malique Ewin 25 4-8 0-0 3-6 5 2 1 0 0 11 11 +10.3
Karter Knox 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.3
D.J. Wagner 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 -0.8
Nick Pringle 13 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -9.7

* = starter