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2026-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 54.1% 45.9% -
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -14 (66-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard 32 4-12 1-6 6-7 2 3 0 0 2 15 6 +2.3
S. Macura 28 5-9 0-2 0-0 10 1 1 0 3 10 10 +2.8
J. McGhee 27 3-8 2-3 3-4 3 4 0 1 2 11 9 +23.6
S. Jones Jr. 27 3-5 1-2 1-2 3 1 2 0 0 8 9 +7.8
Q. Ballard 23 5-5 0-0 3-4 9 1 0 0 2 13 16 +18.9
J. Epps 21 3-7 3-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 5 9 3 +5.7
J. Davis-Fleming 17 0-1 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 -3.6
K. Grace 13 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 8 7 +7.2
A. Achor 12 2-4 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 6 7 +13.6

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Tamba 35 3-5 0-2 4-10 5 2 3 4 1 10 18 -17.6
D. Thomas Jr. 28 6-13 2-4 0-1 2 4 1 0 0 14 8 -16.9
M. Mackinnon 27 6-11 1-5 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 15 5 -18.2
J. Reece 24 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 2 0 0 1 3 +2.6
M. Sutton 24 1-7 0-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -22.2
R. King 20 5-9 1-4 3-4 2 0 1 0 2 14 6 -
R. Miller III 17 2-5 0-0 0-2 3 0 3 1 1 4 5 +1.0
M. Nwoko 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 1 -16.3
M. Mosley 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 +10.1

* = starter