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2026-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% -
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% -
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Log Adjusted 49.1% 50.9% -
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +6 (88-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Heide 38 6-7 5-6 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 17 13 -10.4
D. Swain 37 10-16 4-7 6-7 7 4 0 1 2 30 24 +1.2
J. Pope 35 3-9 2-6 4-5 2 3 0 0 2 12 6 -1.8
M. Vokietaitis 30 3-3 0-0 6-9 5 1 0 1 4 12 12 -3.3
T. Mark 22 2-13 0-6 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 4 -3 -5.1
C. Weaver 20 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 7 -8.3
L. Traore 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -0.8
S. Wilcher 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hall 36 7-13 3-6 14-17 3 2 0 0 2 31 21 +6.2
T. Pettiford 36 2-10 1-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 7 3 +5.9
K. Overton 33 6-9 5-7 8-8 1 1 1 0 0 25 19 +8.9
S. Williams-Adams 32 2-4 0-1 3-6 2 1 2 2 0 7 10 +3.3
K. Murphy 26 2-3 1-2 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 6 9 -3.8
E. Freeman 19 4-6 1-1 1-2 3 1 2 0 1 10 9 +9.1
F. Jović 14 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
B. Muschalek 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1.0

* = starter