Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Tamba | 37 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | -0.7 |
| M. Mackinnon | 35 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | -0.2 |
| D. Thomas Jr. | 31 | 7-20 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | +0.5 |
| M. Sutton | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +8.7 |
| M. Nwoko | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +5.2 |
| J. Reece | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| R. King | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Miller III | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2.2 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Acuff Jr. | 35 | 13-19 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 20 | -3.4 |
| B. Richmond III | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +0.6 |
| T. Brazile | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -5.9 |
| M. Thomas | 26 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +3.5 |
| K. Knox | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +2.8 |
| N. Pringle | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.1 |
| D.J. Wagner | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -0.2 |
| M. Ewin | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -1.1 |
* = starter