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2026-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% +2.0 βœ“ (23.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% - βœ“
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 βœ“ (24.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% - βœ“
Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 51.7% 48.3% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% - βœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +25 (93-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Tanner * 34 3-10 1-4 4-4 2 6 2 0 3 11 8 -30.2
Tyler Nickel * 32 6-13 5-11 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 17 8 -12.0
Devin McGlockton * 25 3-9 2-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 10 3 -22.3
Duke Miles * 24 1-7 1-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 5 2 -9.4
AK Okereke * 23 2-7 0-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -19.2
Jalen Washington 25 3-4 0-1 2-4 7 3 0 0 1 8 13 -2.1
Mike James 20 1-1 0-0 1-3 4 1 1 1 0 3 9 -9.0
Tyler Harris 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 5 0 -8.7
Miles Keeffe 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +3.2
Jayden Leverett 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +3.3
Chandler Bing 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 +3.3

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Acuff Jr. * 34 7-14 3-7 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 17 8 +22.9
Trevon Brazile * 32 4-7 0-1 2-2 14 5 4 2 2 10 26 +21.2
Meleek Thomas * 31 5-11 3-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 1 13 12 +23.3
Karter Knox * 30 6-9 2-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 16 13 +23.8
Nick Pringle * 16 4-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 9 +15.3
Malique Ewin 23 5-6 0-0 6-8 4 1 0 1 1 16 15 +16.1
D.J. Wagner 16 5-8 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 11 7 +15.3
Billy Richmond III 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 2 4 +12.8
E. Džafić 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.5
Ayden Kelley 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.4
Jaden Karuletwa 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.4
Amere Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.4
Isaiah Sealy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.4

* = starter