Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | β (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | β |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Swain | 36 | 10-16 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 23 | +2.1 |
| J. Pope | 32 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -12.7 |
| M. Vokietaitis | 31 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +1.4 |
| C. Weaver | 29 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +2.8 |
| T. Mark | 26 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -20.5 |
| S. Wilcher | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.3 |
| L. Traore | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| C. Heide | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.1 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Oweh | 36 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | +9.6 |
| D. Aberdeen | 32 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 9-12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +5.2 |
| C. Chandler | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | -1.0 |
| M. Moreno | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +17.5 |
| A. JelaviΔ | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| K. Williams | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +5.0 |
| M. Dioubate | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | -13.8 |
| B. Garrison | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8.8 |
| J. Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.1 |
| T. Noah | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
* = starter