Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | +2.5 | β (2.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | β (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | β |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +5 (85-80). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain * | 36 | 10-16 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 23 | +7.9 |
| Jordan Pope * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -7.6 |
| Matas Vokietaitis * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Tramon Mark * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -15.0 |
| Simeon Wilcher * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.4 |
| Chendall Weaver | 29 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Lassina Traore | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Camden Heide | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.0 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh * | 36 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | +13.4 |
| Denzel Aberdeen * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 9-12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +11.7 |
| Malachi Moreno * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +21.7 |
| A. JelaviΔ * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +15.2 |
| Kam Williams * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +8.6 |
| Collin Chandler | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | -2.3 |
| Mo Dioubate | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | -13.0 |
| Brandon Garrison | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -14.8 |
| Jasper Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.0 |
| Trent Noah | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
* = starter