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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 49.0% 51.0% -
Bradley-Terry 58.7% 41.3% -
Margin 71.3% 28.7% -5.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Log Adjusted 78.0% 22.0% -
Points Off/Def 60.3% 39.7% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners -2 (81-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Allen 35 3-7 1-3 5-7 8 2 3 0 2 12 16 +12.3
L. Philon 33 8-19 3-7 4-9 5 4 1 0 3 23 11 -1.8
H. Mallette 31 4-8 3-7 1-2 6 2 1 0 0 12 13 +10.3
A. Sherrell 31 8-12 2-5 3-4 9 2 1 1 1 21 21 +22.9
A. Holloway 28 3-8 1-4 2-2 0 2 1 0 2 9 2 +20.8
T.B. Bowen 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -9.9
L. Jemison 15 1-8 0-5 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1.3
J. Bethea 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -13.6
N. Williamson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -6.8

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Brown 38 6-17 1-4 8-9 4 4 2 0 1 21 13 -12.1
T. Davis 36 5-10 1-2 3-3 7 1 0 0 3 14 9 +1.7
J. Jones 31 2-7 0-3 3-3 5 0 4 4 0 7 13 +3.5
D. Reid 28 6-11 0-2 4-5 9 3 0 0 0 16 17 +1.6
N. Pack 28 5-18 2-10 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 12 -5 -13.8
M. Wague 20 2-6 1-1 1-2 6 2 1 2 2 6 9 -6.0
K. Elatontsev 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 2 1 1 5 10 -

* = starter