🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 68.8% 31.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 64.7% 35.3% - ✗
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 ✓ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 47.9% 52.1% - ✓

Actual: LSU Tigers +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayden Stone 36 7-14 3-7 3-3 4 0 0 1 0 20 11 -4.8
Jacob Crews 30 1-5 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 3 4 -7.2
T.O. Barrett 29 3-8 0-1 5-6 5 4 1 0 5 11 8 +3.3
Mark Mitchell 25 3-6 0-1 7-10 5 0 1 1 2 13 12 -2.6
Trent Pierce 24 3-4 2-3 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 9 9 +2.2
Shawn Phillips Jr. 21 2-3 0-0 6-8 5 0 0 1 1 10 12 -8.8
Anthony Robinson II 17 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 1 3 4 2 -11.2
Trent Burns 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7.3
Annor Boateng 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.6
Nicholas Randall 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.9
Sebastian Mack 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.2

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Mackinnon 38 7-19 4-10 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 20 5 +6.0
Marquel Sutton 34 7-14 2-4 10-14 6 1 2 0 0 26 21 +2.6
Pablo Tamba 31 2-3 1-2 3-3 5 1 1 0 1 8 11 +13.3
Rashad King 29 3-9 1-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 7 3 -
Robert Miller III 27 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 0 4 8 -3.0
Jalen Reece 20 2-4 2-4 1-2 0 3 2 0 2 7 6 -7.7
Michael Nwoko 13 2-2 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 1 6 13 +12.4
Mazi Mosley 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -1.1

* = starter