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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% -
Points Off/Def 31.1% 68.9% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -4 (88-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Heide 34 3-6 1-3 1-2 6 1 2 0 0 8 11 +2.2
T. Mark 34 6-14 2-4 4-5 4 0 2 1 0 18 11 +2.4
J. Pope 30 8-17 6-13 6-6 3 1 1 0 0 28 16 +8.6
D. Swain 23 7-13 0-2 4-7 8 1 0 2 2 18 14 +4.9
C. Weaver 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 5 -12.1
L. Traore 22 2-3 0-0 3-5 8 1 0 2 1 7 14 -1.2
M. Vokietaitis 18 2-5 0-0 4-7 6 1 0 1 2 8 9 +2.3
S. Wilcher 17 1-6 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 3 2 -0.3

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Philon 32 8-17 0-5 5-7 2 5 1 0 5 21 7 +1.1
A. Allen 32 3-9 1-3 4-6 5 4 2 4 0 11 17 +1.3
A. Holloway 29 4-11 2-5 8-10 3 4 0 0 0 18 14 +0.1
T.B. Bowen 26 3-5 3-3 2-2 10 0 0 2 0 11 18 +8.8
A. Sherrell 24 6-8 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 13 13 +4.5
L. Jemison 22 3-7 3-3 0-2 5 2 1 1 1 9 10 +2.3
H. Mallette 17 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.5
N. Williamson 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 -5.4
K. Bristow 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.5
J. Bethea 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -5.7

* = starter